Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.391779 0.506008 0.629976 0.772710 0.930885 1.099379 1.291078
2025-08-10 0.229485 0.378268 0.557854 0.781561 1.045300 1.340272 1.689622
2025-08-17 0.126767 0.273754 0.470896 0.733363 1.057592 1.432661 1.888585
2025-08-24 0.059854 0.191139 0.392237 0.679650 1.051016 1.493824 2.044178
2025-08-31 0.027366 0.143721 0.348821 0.660894 1.078921 1.588899 2.233030
2025-09-07 0.011902 0.116540 0.328558 0.668441 1.136531 1.717270 2.459253
2025-09-14 0.002663 0.089412 0.301408 0.661581 1.172044 1.816014 2.647986
2025-09-21 NaN 0.064126 0.269967 0.643682 1.189577 1.889964 2.804800
2025-09-28 NaN 0.059135 0.276692 0.683471 1.285192 2.062495 3.082235
2025-10-05 NaN 0.057342 0.289568 0.732745 1.393891 2.251840 3.380614
2025-10-12 NaN 0.052807 0.295058 0.769609 1.485053 2.418633 3.651212
2025-10-19 NaN 0.055076 0.316785 0.833199 1.613997 2.634390 3.982852
2025-10-26 NaN 0.051226 0.324398 0.876271 1.718328 2.823994 4.289454
2025-11-02 NaN 0.040139 0.310687 0.883071 1.771514 2.948317 4.516484
2025-11-09 NaN 0.021810 0.266114 0.832302 1.738988 2.958592 4.599034
2025-11-16 NaN 0.008607 0.221293 0.774641 1.692492 2.947797 4.652961
2025-11-23 NaN 0.003415 0.198675 0.754583 1.699510 3.006289 4.792869
2025-11-30 NaN 0.001553 0.191003 0.762662 1.748643 3.121039 5.004300
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000207 0.176598 0.755310 1.773164 3.201984 5.172132
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.157774 0.736106 1.777938 3.255263 5.303855
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.167033 0.778771 1.880576 3.442823 5.609083
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.180748 0.831498 1.999317 3.652659 5.943302
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.188482 0.870874 2.096931 3.833584 6.240317